The former painter and decorator is the odds on favourite to win with some of the shortest odds ever seen, with bookies not budging much between 4/5 and 5/6 - despite fears his voice might not hold out in tonight's show.
Any chance of Cher landing the top prize seems to be slipping further from her grasp however with her odds lengthening to 33/1 at most outlets - having started at 7/2 after her first audition - though William Hill and Paddy Power have her at 20/1.
Behind her in third favourite position - but not by much either - are One Direction, who are mostly listed at 3/1. However, the shortest odds on offer are just 5/2.
In fact, there's so little to choose between the finalists that Simon Cowell is set to give them all a record deal, as reported by MailOnline yesterday.
X Factor 2010
However, despite the bookies - and Mr Cowell - seeing it as almost too tight to call, Matt is said to still be worried this morning whether he's going to be well enough to sing.
The 27-year-old has been suffering from laryngitis and 'flu all week, and was BANNED from even talking between rehearsals as XFactor vocal coach Savan Kotecha put him on 'vocal rest'.
But he still has the diver to win, saying last night: 'It's been a long slog getting here and I definitely want to win. This is one of my worst moments not knowing whether I can sing in the final or not.'
He's set to perform tonight with Rihanna, though the title of the song they're going to duet on is being kept tightly under wraps.
Matt said: 'I can't say what the song is but I absolutely love it. When I found out I was singing with Rihanna, it was the one I wanted to do.'
X Factor 2010
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